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Where will it rain this Labor Day weekend? What to know

by LJ News Opinions
September 3, 2026
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Labor Day weekend is just days away, but nasty storms could threaten to wreak havoc on outdoor plans and cause holiday travel headaches. Some areas could see flash flooding from heavy rainfall and monsoon storms. 

The holiday weekend is here, and millions of Americans are bracing to enjoy the last bit of warm weather for Labor Day before fall’s cooling effects begin.

As the holiday brings one of the last chances to enjoy the great outdoors with family, prediction markets at Kalshi are weighing the odds that rain will affect major cities this weekend.

Experts at Kalshi are predicting an 85% chance of rain to dampen outdoor plans for thousands of people in Miami, along with an 81% chance for Seattle.

10 OF AMERICA’S HIDDEN GEM SPOTS YOU CAN’T MISS THIS SUMMER

It is also worth noting that Boston has a 67% chance of precipitation.

Other locations also have a substantial chance of wet weather, according to Kalshi.

Saturday weather threat

Starting Saturday, weather conditions will develop, especially in the Southeast, Four Corners and Southwest regions.

Tropical downpours will plague Florida as easterly winds push moisture from the Atlantic Ocean into the region, fueling severe storms.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND OUTLOOK: NASTY STORMS THREATEN TO WREAK HAVOC ON OUTDOOR PLANS, HOLIDAY TRAFFIC

The same weather will occur on the other side of the country in the Southwest, where a surge of tropical moisture is possible as Hurricane Marie tracks closer to the region.

“This threat will continue through much of the weekend, with cities such as Phoenix and Tucson, Arizona, under a Level 1 out of 4 flash flood risk to kick off the weekend,” the FOX Forecast Center said.

This graphic shows the Labor Day Weekend overview of weather conditions.
(FOX Weather)

 

The Central U.S. will continue to see summer temperatures about 5 to 10 degrees above average, stretching from Minneapolis to Oklahoma City, according to the FOX Forecast Center.

Sunday weather threat

The FOX Forecast Center said the same weather will continue into Sunday, with monsoon storms likely to increase in activity across the Southwest and Intermountain West regions.

This pattern will likely bring cooler temperatures.

TRACK HURRICANE LOWELL: PATH, FORECAST CONE, SPAGHETTI MODELS, WIND AND MORE

In the Southeast, the wet and nasty weather will continue, especially in the Sunshine State.

North Miami Beach, Florida, pedestrian in crosswalk during heavy rain, downpour.

North Miami Beach, Florida, pedestrian in crosswalk during heavy rain, downpour. 

( Jeffrey Greenberg/Universal Images Group / Getty Images)

The Northeast will shift to drier weather and pleasant temperatures, while the Central and Southern Great Plains will also be warm.

Labor Day Monday

By the time the holiday rolls around, the weather will quiet down a bit, with lingering summer heat across the Central and Southern Plains; seasonal temperatures will settle across the Heartland, Great Lakes and Northeast.

This comes as a relief for people in the Northeast, as a few lingering showers may be present by Monday.

RAIN DELAYS US OPEN AS NEW YORK CITY’S SOGGY SEPTEMBER BEGINS

In the Southeast, unsettled weather will remain as summer thunderstorms continue as a cold front dips farther south, keeping moisture levels high and fueling the severe threat.

This graphic shows the Labor Day forecast.
(FOX Weather)

 

“As moisture continues to ride around the northern edge of the ridge of high pressure keeping the Central U.S. warm, storms will be possible across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest,” the FOX Forecast Center said.

READY FOR ONE LAST SUMMER TRIP? TOP 10 LABOR DAY DESTINATIONS FOR 2026

Be sure to stay tuned to FOX Weather all weekend long as we monitor the developing weather across the U.S. for the holiday weekend and how it can affect your plans.



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Tags: familyHolidaysnortheastnorthwestPrecipitationPrediction MarketssoutheastSouthwestStay22TravelUSUS RegionsWeather NewsWestWind
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