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Parade of storms to ease Mississippi Valley drought as flash flood risk grows

by LJ News Opinions
March 1, 2026
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Farmers that are getting ready for planting season are closely monitoring the changing weather pattern. Senior Atmospheric Scientist Matt Reardon joins FOX Weather to talk about how rainfall will provide some relief from serious drought conditions.

Rain is on the horizon for the drought-stricken Mississippi Valley, as a stretch of storms will bring beneficial rounds of precipitation over the week beginning Tuesday, with a changing weather pattern signaling a wet start to spring.

Spring pattern flip outlook
(FOX Weather)

 

These storms do come with a “but,” however, as rainfall totals could exceed 6 inches in some locations.

This poses a significant threat: after a prolonged drought, parched ground can act like a hard surface causing more runoff and flash flooding rather than letting the water soak in like a sponge.

RARE SPLIT IN POLAR VORTEX TO USHER IN WARM WEATHER ACROSS WINTER-WEARY EASTERN US NEAR BEGINNING OF MARCH

With very heavy rain expected from the Gulf Coast states northward into the Great Lakes, more than a dozen states are in the zone for heavy rain and flash flooding concerns.

Mississippi Heavy Rain

FILE: Mississippi Heavy Rain

(FOX Weather)

Portions of the region have been issued a level 1 out of 4 flash flood threat for both Tuesday and Wednesday, but the levels could increase as soils become more saturated and rainfall continues.

LARGE HAIL, POWERFUL WINDS BLAST ALABAMA, AS SEVERE STORMS PROVIDE NEEDED RAIN FOR DROUGHT-STRICKEN SOUTHEAST

The FOX Forecast Center said within that broad area, the most persistent and intense rain is most likely across parts of Texas, Arkansas and Oklahoma.

Multi-day flash flood threat outlook
(FOX Weather)

 

The drought’s grip on Arkansas remains severe, affecting nearly the entire state.

FLORIDA DROUGHT FUELS FIRE POTENTIAL AMID EXTREME DRY SPELL

Currently, extreme to exceptional drought covers about 29% of the region, and Little Rock is entering March with a 6-inch rainfall deficit from the winter season. 

Latest drought monitor map
(FOX Weather)

 

The projected “parade of storms” offers a chance to erase those recent losses in a single week. However, because the drought is a long-term issue, this rainfall is viewed as a significant first step toward recovery rather than a total solution.

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

With a similar story unfolding across neighboring states, cities such as Dallas, St. Louis, Indianapolis, and Cincinnati are all running precipitation deficits since the start of winter.

Multi-day rain outlook
(FOX Weather)

 

As the weather pattern set to flip, the result is a setup capable of producing multiple rounds of widespread rain, providing much-needed relief from serious drought.



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Tags: AlabamaarkansasFox WeatherIllinoiskentuckyLouisianaMississippiMissouriOklahomaPrecipitationSevere weatherStay22TennesseeTexas
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