On Friday, Mizuho raised its price target on MongoDB (NASDAQ:) shares to $275 from $250, maintaining a Neutral rating. The revision followed MongoDB’s second-quarter earnings report, which surpassed consensus expectations for revenue and margins. The company’s management team also increased its fiscal year 2025 growth forecast to 14-15%, exceeding the consensus of 13%. This announcement resulted in a 13% rise in MongoDB’s shares in after-hours trading.
MongoDB’s positive quarter was attributed to significant new workload acquisitions and slightly better-than-anticipated trends in Atlas (NYSE:) consumption. Atlas revenue grew by 27% year-over-year, compared to a 32% growth in the previous quarter, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company also experienced continued strength in its Enterprise Advanced (EA) segment, as customers added new workloads.
The company has shown signs of improved sales productivity, which has been instrumental in driving robust new customer acquisitions, especially after addressing execution issues faced in the first fiscal quarter. MongoDB’s management highlighted that while the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) is not expected to influence short-term results, the company is strategically positioned to capitalize on AI-driven growth over the longer term.
In light of these developments, Mizuho adjusted its estimates upward, setting the new price target of $275 based on a next twelve months (NTM) enterprise value to revenue multiple of 11 times. The updated target reflects the firm’s recognition of MongoDB’s recent performance and its potential for sustained growth.
In other recent news, MongoDB, Inc. reported a 13% year-over-year increase in its second quarter fiscal year 2025 revenue, reaching $478 million. The company’s Atlas product played a significant role, contributing 71% to the total revenue. MongoDB also noted a non-GAAP operating income of $52.5 million and a non-GAAP operating margin of 11%. The company’s customer base expanded to over 50,700, with more than 1,500 customers added during the quarter.
MongoDB is optimistic about its long-term growth opportunities, especially in the AI sector, with its MongoDB AI Applications Program (MAAP). The company anticipates Q3 revenue between $493 million to $497 million, and full fiscal year 2025 revenue is projected to be between $1.92 billion and $1.93 billion. Despite macroeconomic challenges, MongoDB continues to see strong new business and sales productivity, and remains confident in its execution abilities for the long term.
InvestingPro Insights
Following the upbeat earnings report and Mizuho’s revised price target for MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB), InvestingPro data and tips highlight several key financial metrics and forecasts that investors might consider. MongoDB is currently trading with a market capitalization of approximately $18.02 billion, reflecting the high growth potential that the market attributes to the company. The company’s revenue has shown a robust growth of 29.15% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, with a gross profit margin of 74.52%, indicating strong underlying business performance.
Two InvestingPro Tips that are particularly relevant to MongoDB’s current situation are that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and that net income is expected to grow this year. These factors suggest a solid financial position and an optimistic outlook for profitability. Notably, MongoDB’s liquid assets also exceed its short-term obligations, providing further evidence of financial health. Investors may find additional insights, including a total of 10 InvestingPro Tips for MongoDB, by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/MDB.
However, it’s worth noting that MongoDB has been trading at a high revenue valuation multiple and a high Price/Book multiple of 14.2, which may raise questions about the stock’s valuation. Despite the recent price hit, with a 45.1% decline over the last six months, analysts remain optimistic, predicting the company will turn profitable this year. The InvestingPro Fair Value estimate stands at $228.84, suggesting a more conservative valuation compared to the current analyst target of $327.5. These metrics and insights can help investors gauge MongoDB’s financial health and growth prospects in the context of its current market valuation.
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