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How much will it rain in Chicago this month and will it affect Lollapalooza?

by LJ News Opinions
July 30, 2026
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A stormy weather pattern is bringing some relief from the intense heat that has been baking the Central US. Daily thunderstorms and showers are expected to develop each afternoon beginning Thursday  and lasting through the weekend, setting up a multiday flash flood threat that will move across the middle of the country. The bull’s-eye of Thursday’s flood risk will be across the parts of the Central Plains and Upper Midwest. Meanwhile, the most intense storms are expected across parts of central South Dakota and north-central Nebraska, where the Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 2 out of 5 risk of severe thunderstorms Thursday.

CHICAGO, Ill. – One of the world’s most iconic four-day festivals is underway in Chicago, but nasty wet weather could dampen plans to enjoy the music.

The Lollapalooza festival runs from Thursday to Sunday, with music groups starting at 12 p.m. and ending at 10 p.m. each day.

In light of such a large event and the lingering storm threat this weekend, experts at Kalshi are looking ahead to how much more rain people will experience in the Windy City by the end of this month.

SUMMER STORMS SWAMPED NEW YORK CITY, BUT SUNSHINE LOOKS TO RETURN TO END JULY

Prediction markets at Kalshi are expecting a 99% chance that rain totals will exceed 6 inches by the end of July, along with a 21% chance of exceeding 7 inches.

To start the festival on Thursday, visitors at Grant Park will luck out with mostly sunny skies and dry weather, but that will quickly shift on Friday, when there is a chance of rain and thunderstorms through the evening, with a 90% chance of precipitation.

This comes as some areas in the Midwest could see rainfall totals of over 3 inches, with a Level 2 out of 4 flash flood threat across portions of the region, including Chicago.

SUMMER STORMS SWAMPED NEW YORK CITY, BUT SUNSHINE LOOKS TO RETURN TO END JULY

Timelapse video shows a severe storm moving into Chicago bringing heavy rainfall, gusty wind and thunderstorms. Currently, close to 172,000 customers are without power in Cook County, Illinois.

For Saturday, showers will start much earlier, mainly before 1 p.m., with wind gusts up to 25 mph, according to the National Weather Service. Despite this, the wet weather should fall off by the evening.

MILLIONS TARGETED BY THUNDERSTORMS, FLASH FLOODING AS MULTIDAY SEVERE EVENT KICKS OFF ACROSS PLAINS, MIDWEST

Thankfully, for the final day, music lovers attending the festival can expect mostly sunny skies and pleasant temperatures in the mid-70s.



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Tags: EventsIllinoismidwestoutdoorsPrecipitationPrediction MarketsStay22SummerthunderstormsUSWeather News
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