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Here’s how El Niño could bring needed rain to 2 largest reservoirs in the US

by LJ News Opinions
July 23, 2026
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FILE – Federal water managers with the Bureau of Reclamation are opening up the floodgates, so to speak, at an Arizona dam in the hopes of restoring sand dunes along parts of the Colorado River near the Grand Canyon.

LAS VEGAS, Nevada — Lake Mead and Lake Powell, the country’s two largest reservoirs, dropped to record-low storage levels this month, according to data and analysis from the Bureau of Reclamation and the University of Colorado.

The combined storage of Lake Mead and Lake Powell fell to a record low of about 12.7 million acre-feet on July 12, breaking the previous record set in March 2023, according to the University of Colorado.

Lake Mead water level history.
(FOX Weather)

 

Lake Mead and Lake Powell are the Colorado River’s two primary storage reservoirs. The river helps supply water to roughly 40 million people across seven Western states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming.

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The Colorado River is predominantly fed by snowpack from the Intermountain West, which received very little snow this past winter.

Lake Powell currently has an elevation of 3,523 feet as of July 22, 2026.

(U.S. Bureau of Reclamation)

As of Thursday, Lake Powell is at a record-low 3,523 feet, according to the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.

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This is the lowest combined storage level since May 23, 1957, when all of that water was stored in Lake Mead because Lake Powell had not yet begun filling during construction of Glen Canyon Dam, the university said.

Lake Powell water level history.
(FOX Weather)

 

However, some relief may be on the way this fall and winter.

According to NOAA, odds have increased that a Super El Niño will develop in the Central Pacific by this fall.

This graphic shows the El Niño zone.

This graphic shows the El Niño zone.

(FOX Weather)

El Niño is one of three phases of a climate cycle called the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It describes natural temperature changes in the central Pacific Ocean that alter atmospheric circulation and can greatly influence global weather.

Some of El Niño’s most significant impacts are felt across the Lower 48 during the winter months.

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Typical El Niño winter impacts.

(FOX Weather / FOX Weather)

According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, California is expected to see increased chances of above-average rain due to a wider and wavier Pacific jet stream helping steer more storms into the region.

The jet stream acts as an atmospheric conveyor belt for storms, guiding them across the Pacific and onto the West Coast.

WHAT IS THE JET STREAM?

This could help mitigate potential water shortages and even replenish the snowpack across the Intermountain West and increase runoff into Lake Powell and Lake Mead next spring.

Scenic view of Lake Powell with boats docked at a marina, surrounded by dramatic sandstone cliffs and desert terrain under a bright sky—ideal for travel, nature, and outdoor lifestyle themes.

(Duro Mesiar / Getty Images)

“Every day going forward, until runoff from the 2026-2027 winter snowpack begins next spring, a new record low will likely be set,” the University of Colorado said. “This is a significant moment in the evolving Colorado River water supply crisis.”

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

However, even an extremely wet winter would not reverse the steady 26-year decline in storage at Lake Mead and Lake Powell.



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Tags: arizonaAtmosphereCaliforniacoloradoDroughtEl NinoNevadaNew MexicoStay22USUtahWyoming
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