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El Niño sparks Pacific tropical traffic jam with 5 areas to watch

by LJ News Opinions
July 13, 2026
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The active start to the hurricane season throughout the Eastern Pacific continues with five new areas to watch across the basin, all fueled by above-average water temperatures from a strengthening El Niño. Development chances range from low to high depending on the system. Stick with FOX Weather for continuous hurricane season updates.

Across the Eastern Pacific, above-average water temperatures fueled by a strengthening El Niño continue to support an active start to the hurricane season. 

ODDS INCREASE AGAIN FOR DEVELOPMENT OF BREWING SUPER EL NIÑO BY THIS FALL, REACHING POTENTIAL STRONGEST EVER

Following four named storms already this year, the basin is now experiencing a tropical traffic jam with five areas to watch.

Pacific basin tropical overview
(FOX Weather)

 

All four of these storms—Amanda, Boris, Cristina, and Douglas—formed ahead of their average climatological formation dates.

HERE’S WHAT AN EL NINO CLIMATE PATTERN IS

On average, the Eastern Pacific’s fifth named storm forms around July 23. However, given the current activity, the FOX Forecast Center said the next system appears likely to develop before then.

The next name on the list is Elida.

The FOX Forecast Center is monitoring these potential developments across the Central and Eastern Pacific. 

Pacific basin tropical overview chances of development
(FOX Weather)

 

South of Hawaii, two disturbances carry a low and medium chance of development over the next seven days. 

Farther east, another disturbance has a low chance of development through next week. All of these systems are expected to remain well south of Hawaii and are likely to develop into a depression or named storm.

POTENTIAL SUPER EL NIÑO TO CREATE A SURGE IN TRAVEL TROUBLE FOR MILLIONS THIS WINTER

Closer to Mexico, another area of disturbed weather has a high chance of tropical development over the next seven days. 

Rain forecast over the next 10 days

Rain forecast over the next 10 days

(FOX Weather)

While most long-range forecast guidance keeps any developing system away from land, it will be worth watching for the possibility of remnant tropical moisture eventually entangling with the monsoon rains.

SUPER TYPHOON BAVI REACHES ‘GARGANTUAN’ SIZE AS IT BARRELS TOWARD TAIWAN AND CHINA

In addition, the fifth area to watch carries a medium chance of development and would be following on the heels of the one previously mentioned closer to Mexico. 

It will have a decent chance of development in 7 to 10 days, the FOX Forecast Center said. 

Low-level spin tracker
(FOX Weather)

 

El Niño conditions have historically favored above-average tropical activity across the Eastern Pacific. On average, the basin produces 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes—Category 3 or stronger.

The El Niño weather pattern is expected to continue intensifying into late summer.

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

Stay ahead of the storm with FOX Weather for continuous hurricane season updates.



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Tags: El NinoforecastFox WeatherhurricanesnoaaoceanStay22USUS Regions
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