Another round of severe weather is set to unfold this weekend across the Central Plains before spreading into the Midwest. Thunderstorms are expected to develop Saturday afternoon and evening, with heavy rain prompting a multiday flash flood threat. Full forecast:
The risk of severe storms and flash flooding returns this weekend, targeting the Central Plains before spreading into the Midwest and East early next week as another storm system moves through.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop Saturday afternoon across Nebraska and Kansas, before tracking east across the Midwest and into the East by Sunday and Monday, bringing widespread rainfall of 2 to 3 inches.
Supercell thunderstorm causes sky to turn ice blue in Harper, Kansas on June 17, 2025.
(Mark Sudduth / FOX Weather)
POWERFUL TORNADOES, DESTRUCTIVE WINDS BRING WIDESPREAD DEVASTATION TO SEVERAL MIDWEST COMMUNITIES
This could lead to some flash flood risks, thus prompting a multi-day Level 2 out of 4 threat for parts of the region.
On Saturday, a dip in the jet stream will move from the Central Rockies into the Plains as a surface low develops.
(FOX Weather)
Strengthening southerly winds will bring increasing moisture, with dew points rising into the 60s and instability building through the afternoon.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop by late afternoon and continue into the evening across Nebraska and Kansas, where a Level 2 out of 5 severe storm risk is in place.
(FOX Weather)
With above-average moisture and a highly unstable atmosphere, storms could produce rainfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour.
THE SPC 5-POINT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK CATEGORY SCALE EXPLAINED
Severe thunderstorms loom in Paxton, Nebraska, Monday, June 1.
(Margaret / FOX Weather)
This may lead to flash flooding across central Nebraska and Kansas, eventually extending into Iowa and western Missouri, the FOX Firecast Center said.
As a result, a Level 2 out of 4 flash flood risk is in effect from Saturday into the overnight hours.
(FOX Weather)
By Sunday and Monday, the low-pressure system will track eastward, spreading heavy rain into the Midwest and eventually the East.
This has prompted a Level 2 out of 4 flash flood risk for Sunday afternoon across portions of the lower Missouri and lower Ohio Valleys.
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND DAMAGING WINDS SLAM THE GULF COAST AS ARTHUR PACKS A PUNCH
Through Monday, widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches are likely from Nebraska through Missouri and into the Ohio Valley.
(FOX Weather)
Localized amounts exceeding 3 inches are possible where slower-moving, training thunderstorms develop, repeatedly battering the same areas.
Additionally, across the Northeast, rain is expected through Monday and could be heavy at times, particularly from Philadelphia to Boston.
However, uncertainty remains regarding the system’s strength as it moves northeast and the exact timing of the heaviest rain.
